The C.R.E.A.M of the crop (the highest salaries). If you’re looking to spend money on a Wide Receiver we recommend:
I wanted to give you someone other than the mega chalk: DeAndre Hopkins, who looks to be in for a monster week 12. So I looked a little lower in the Bluechip market and fell in love with another matchup: Larry Fitzgerald vs. the 49ers.
Since coming off the bye the Cardinals O has been red hot, especially through the air with Palmer throwing for over 680 yards and 7 TD’s the last 2 weeks.
Larry Fitzgerald has been Palmer’s catalyst with 25 targets, 18 receptions and 220 yards.
Rotogrinders advanced stats show us:
The 49ers D has allowed the 11th most WR points per game at 37.55 over the past 3 weeks while the Cardinals WR’s have earned the 2nd most per game over the past 3 weeks at 59.25
The Cardinals 2nd in the league averaging 4.3 red zone trips per game on offense and converting those trips into touchdowns 62.79% of the time. They face a 49ers D who allows redzone trips to be converted into TD’s with a 66.67% RZ TD conversion rate.
Rotogrinders Trends tool shows us that Larry Fitzgerald has re established himself as the Cardinals focal point on O and is averaging 4.20 more targets than his season average over the last 3 weeks.
I don’t expect the 49ers to be able to slow Palmer and Fitz down too much and Bruce Arians is one of the few coaches in the league who keeps his foot on the pedal even after amassing a large lead. Look for plenty of chunk plays and a red zone TD for Fitz on Sunday.
Also consider: Antonio Brown
“Bull” is inspired by a Bull Market on Wall Street. If you’re looking for a high ceiling with a moderate salary:
Fresh off the bye, a healthy Big Ben and the Steelers big play O face a middling Seahawks defense. The Seahawks D continues to prove they are only a shadow of their 2014 dominant selves by allowing Blaine Gabbert to throw for 264 yards, a TD and no turnovers on their home turf. They should have their hands full with the Ben and his slew of talented WR’s
I would expect Richard Sherman to shadow Antonio Brown, and while I still expect a big game from AB….I think Haley’s gameplan may look to exploit the clear weak link on this D which is cornerback Cary Wilson, who should see plenty of Martavis Bryant.
Rotogrinders advanced stats show us:
The Seahawks D has allowed the 4th most DraftKings points to WR’s per game the last 3 weeks with 33.25 while the Steelers O has earned the most DK WR points per game with 66.50.
Coming off his week 10 6-178-1 line…it’s clear Bryant is rounding into midseason form. With a healthy Big Ben also under center, I expect the massive statline’s to continue for Bryant in this matchup and for the rest of the 2015 season.
If you’re looking for near minimum salary with the potential to out perform the Blue Chip market:
A new defensive coordinator can’t change the fact that the Saints lack talent on the defensive side of the ball. This led me to explore the Houston WR’s in a matchup that should favor Houston’s pass attack. Playing 63 snaps to Cecil Shorts’ 46…I decided to pick Nate Washington as my penny stock of the week.
My film study of the Saints D leads me to believe that their D has the ability to play good run D and especially against Houston’s awful rushing attack — the Texans will be forced to attack through the air. Next, NO CB Delvin Breaux is the one player that stands when you watch film. He lacks the physical ability to be a shutdown corner but he makes up for it with tremendous instincts, hustle and grit. While I don’t think he will shut down Hopkins (which Nuk proved last week is impossible), I do think he will force Hoyer to look to the #2 option quite a bit on Sunday…..which makes me believe Washington should be in for a large statline.
RotoGrinders advanced stats
Over the last three week New Orleans D has given up the most points per game to DraftKings Qb’s with an average of 32.65…almost 6 points higher than the #2 D.
The Offense vs. Defense tool which uses stats to predict matchup stats, predicts Houston to have the 3rd most passing yards and the most passing TD’s on the week.
Hoyer should have an easy time moving the ball on the short to intermediate routes, expect Washington to see double digit targets and easily triple his low 4,800 salary.
“Bear” also draws inspiration from Wall Street. Stay away this week:
Besides the fact that TY and backup QB Matt Hasselbeck don’t have the same chemistry as TY and Luck, there are a number of other reasons for concern in this matchup.
The Buccaneers D have been very good against WR’s only allowing an average of 28.67 WR points per game over the past 3 weeks.
The Colts O line has struggled all season, but especially against a good inside pass rush. The Bucs and Gerald McCoy are one of the best teams at applying pressure up the middle. I don’t expect Hasselbeck to have much time to look down field for TY this game.
Although his salary is coming down, without Luck behind center Hilton’s ceiling takes a drastic hit. At $6,700 I don’t love TY’s matchup or odds of being able to double or triple his DK salary.
